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Category Archives: Offbeat
Prospect Theory and the Application to Harvard
It occurs to me that my original post regarding the application to Harvard was lacking an important component: namely, prospect theory. Prospect Theory is an alternative to Rational Choice Theory which attempts to model the manner in which people actually … Continue reading
Rationality and the Application to Harvard
I just sent off my application to the Harvard Graduate School of Arts and Sciences, sealed with a crunchy $105. That’s a non-trivial sum of money to a poor Master’s student. And yet I can predict with near certainty that … Continue reading
Posted in Game Theory, Offbeat, Social Science, Tony's Life
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Finding the Global Population’s Equilibrium
Last night’s post brought me a to final question on the population model with which I’ve been tinkering. Will my model converge? There are two ways to answer this question. The first is kinda sorta calculus. To start, we must … Continue reading
Posted in Offbeat, Other, Research Methodology, Social Science, Statistics
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Forecasting the Global Population
As a follow-up to my recent post on the measurement of the global population using system-dynamic modeling and regression techniques on data from the World Bank, I decided to point my model in the opposing direction. I mean we can … Continue reading
Cybercrime – Can you afford not to ignore it?
Kate Lister posted a piece about the dangers of cyber crime, especially emanating from Russia and former Soviet States, and East Asia. Oh, and West Africa, too. Yawn. I’m really sick of these sensational studies claiming that there are zillions … Continue reading
Posted in Computer Wonkistry, Offbeat
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